Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 2.200920 2.530379 2.895957 3.332317 3.839826 4.412459 5.108954
2025-05-11 1.682726 2.115999 2.644725 3.340206 4.235143 5.353585 6.866053
2025-05-18 1.401885 1.872047 2.483769 3.343551 4.529773 6.121712 8.441761
2025-05-25 1.177944 1.649838 2.295981 3.253802 4.652021 6.640832 9.723686
2025-06-01 1.052464 1.536671 2.229960 3.307021 4.960008 7.436528 11.494607
2025-06-08 0.958345 1.451969 2.187476 3.379272 5.292931 8.298546 13.480526
2025-06-15 0.866637 1.357019 2.114184 3.388396 5.519684 9.013761 15.324736
2025-06-22 0.773142 1.246801 2.001852 3.316546 5.598316 9.487827 16.818485
2025-06-29 0.699732 1.159786 1.915314 3.273542 5.714349 10.031321 18.503988
2025-07-06 0.632285 1.074807 1.821793 3.205042 5.772675 10.473394 20.057450
2025-07-13 0.612243 1.068387 1.860704 3.374010 6.280176 11.797652 23.510215
2025-07-20 0.569857 1.017776 1.815797 3.382598 6.484373 12.568687 25.963914
2025-07-27 0.538734 0.989435 1.817346 3.498001 6.950424 13.998058 30.224304
2025-08-03 0.495240 0.934325 1.765043 3.506824 7.215863 15.088498 34.030412
2025-08-10 0.456731 0.883745 1.714424 3.510327 7.467811 16.187005 38.073789
2025-08-17 0.412640 0.816860 1.623236 3.415782 7.491082 16.781761 41.030903
2025-08-24 0.388390 0.787168 1.603653 3.471844 7.859496 18.226185 46.417645
2025-08-31 0.368306 0.763696 1.593963 3.547960 8.285629 19.879768 52.715897
2025-09-07 0.344554 0.729677 1.557540 3.557573 8.553136 21.187847 58.366763
2025-09-14 0.316584 0.683402 1.488878 3.481878 8.597176 21.932447 62.584716
2025-09-21 0.293652 0.645906 1.435738 3.436576 8.711990 22.884115 67.637289
2025-09-28 0.271116 0.606964 1.374996 3.364420 8.745348 23.620564 72.205282
2025-10-05 0.266496 0.609066 1.410760 3.542417 9.484187 26.475598 84.243741